Wednesday, November 7, 2012

It's the demographics stupid

In the wake of the 2012 Presidential election I felt it was time again to attempt to get America to "Grow the Fuck Up". We all know that this is a nation divided but it's not divided along traditional ideological lines it's a divide along demographic lines, not unlike the divide of during the 1860's. This divide is economic but not in the way most seem to think it is, it's not about tax rates and government spending, it's about the products that  we as Americans now value. 

I will briefly touch on few topics here that I will expand on in further posts

I have noticed that the majority of those frightened about our countries future come form the perspective that we need manufacturing jobs in order to provide good lives for citizens. The question is manufacture what products? Consumer goods more and more come in the form of digitized information, 1s and 0s being sent from one device to another via WiFi connections. This has not only made manufacturing the products (books, CD's, DVD's, Magazines etc) obsolete but also the retail sales jobs that were once needed to staff stores are now obsolete and no matter what they are never coming back. 

Another area where I hear and understand the concerns of those for whom the election did not turn out they way they had hoped was home ownership. This too is a question of changing demographics, younger people more and more do not wish to own homes. They value mobility far more than stability. Those from older generations worry about how their children and grand children will be able to afford owning a home when odds are they won't want to own one. People used to spend their entire lives within a few miles from where they were born, this again no longer happens. It's not that those who are concerned about this are wrong they are basing their fears on their own experience. It is important for generations to remember that what worked for them isn't necessarily what will work for the next generation.

The survival of the automobile industry is also an issue that is misunderstood. Automobiles no longer carry the same mystique that they once did. Younger Americans grew up with everyone in their neighborhood having a car, it wasn't the status symbol that it used to be. What has replaced the automobile as the object of allure for younger Americans you may ask, it's the smart phone. Having the coolest phone in the bar will get the attention of the prettiest girl a lot better than a Corvette would. 

Social issues are also a question of demographics. In 2004 gay marriage ballot proposals increased the conservative voter turn out in order to defeat the proposals and this helped President Bush win reelection. Eight years later the proposals did not have the same effect which confused certain pundits. The reason is that in the past eight years many of the older voters who were against gay marriage died and there were eight years of new voters turning 18 who either support gay marriage or really just don't care and in fact may think the concept of marriage is archaic.

It's all about demographics, demographics tell us that the country is becoming more and more diversified, less concerned with what has been called "Values Issues" and more concerned with having affordable health care, clean air, affordable transportation and having the coolest tablet or smart phone on the market. They will prefer to travel via plane or train because driving makes it hard to update Facebook or send a tweet. They don't watch broadcast television because it is more convenient to watch whichever program they choose on their tablet on Hulu or Netflix during the day so the night can be left open to go to bars or out to dinner.

These are some of the reasons why President Obama won easy in the Electoral College even covering the spread I set at 44.5 votes. It is the changing demographics as to why Americans will no longer have 2.3 children and pack up the kids and dog for summer vacations and it is the changing demographics that has left the Republican Party obsolete and why this nation will find it's way to European style socialism, it's what nations do when they reach adulthood.

I will be nice and give those upset by the outcome of the election the day to get it out of their systems but as of tomorrow when I go into greater depth about the changing world I will tell them if they still are acting like Chicken Little then I will have to tell them to "Grow the Fuck Up"!

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